The Asian Development Bank forecasts that inflation in Georgia will remain at 3.8% in 2026. The figure will hardly change compared to 2025 (3.9%) and may decrease to 3.3% by 2027. At the same time, analysts emphasize that the country's economy remains sensitive to external factors, including supply disruptions and fluctuations in energy prices.
GDP growth, according to the bank's estimate, will slow down from 7.5% in 2025 to 5.5% in 2026. The industry is expected to moderately accelerate to 2.4% after 1.4% a year earlier, however, the service sector, which remains a key driver, will reduce its dynamics from 10.8% to 7.5%. Agriculture, after a decline in 2025, will gradually stabilize and reach growth of about 1.7% by 2027.
Experts note that the main source of uncertainty remains external shocks — rising oil prices, disruptions in logistics chains and instability in global markets. Against this background, inflationary pressure may increase, despite the generally stable internal dynamics of the country's economy.